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Introduction
Demonic Possession, Risk Analysis, and Jesusā War on Satan
āTo be near Jesus is dangerous. It offers no prospect of earthly happiness, but involves the fire of tribulation and the test of suffering. But, it must indeed be born in upon every one who, yielding to fear, turns away from the call of Jesus, that he excludes himself from the Kingdom of God.ā
āJoachim Jeremias
Is this correct? Was it dangerous to be near Jesus, and if so, why? Did the young Jewish Galilean peasant and exorcist, Yeshua ben Yosef, embrace the āfire of tribulation,ā reject earthy happiness, and demand the same of those who, having witnessed his expulsion of demons, chose to respond to his proclamation? What perilous risks did he perceive that would have led him to demand such a radical response? Can these risks be recovered from their historical context, and if so, how? What were the perilous risks of his generation, and how did he confront them, even at risk to his own life? What do they tell us about his undisputed confrontation with demonic possession and the religious elite, as well as his death?
These are questions that have plagued me for over thirty years, because risk is something I deal with every day. Now I manage a $1.5 billion community bank, but ten years ago I worked at the highest levels of risk evaluation and analysis in a multibillion-dollar organization, analyzing all types of perilous risks, quantitative and qualitative. During those years, I developed and employed proven methodologies for evaluating and mitigating risks, presenting countless seminars to all levels of risk managers and leaders. This included working with nonprofit and religious organizations, as well as speaking on the subject at Harvard Divinity School. Analyzing risk and evaluating historical countermeasures to peril have permeated my thinking.
Many years ago, I thought I had risked everything. I left my career so that I could attend Harvard Divinity School in search of a deeper understanding of risk and historical resistance to evil, even at oneās own peril. It was there that I read about Jesus of Nazareth and Paul of Tarsusāpeople who risked everything. Only then did I begin to understand the human drive to neutralize risk, and that certain analytical methods were useful in uncovering consistent patterns of risk response, regardless of culture or time. I eventually finished my studies at Harvard, and thanks to the support of my advisor, Helmut Koester, I was armed with a new understanding of how to apply my skills to New Testament studies.
As a result, risk analysis of the New Testament has become my lifelong passion. I have applied various risk methodologies to interpreting the New Testament, leading me to believe that a specific application of risk analysis uncovers a fascinating, detectable pattern of conflict between Jesus and his opponents, particularly in his confrontations with them over demonic possession, pollution of the land, and imperialism. These findings suggest that there is a core tradition surrounding Jesusā activity that is reliable and recoverable through risk analysis.
Let me describe a framework for researching the New Testament from a risk analysis perspective. First, I take the Gospels, particularly the Gospel of Mark, holistically. I do so because there are several indisputable historical facts that virtually all scholars accept. They provide a āwisp of historyā that even the most ardent critics embrace, and it is important to note that subsequent practices of the community in which the memory of Jesus is preserved confirm aspects of his risk actions, including the practice of exorcising demonic possession. As Helmut Koester states,
Second, Jesusā risk practices can be correlated using our methodology. In fact, there is a direct connection between practice and ritual instituted by Jesus himselfāwhich, as we shall see, should include his own ritual practice related to exorcisms, particularly among the exorcists he trained, who later made up the first post-Easter community.
When aggregated, these historical facts provide a general historical context that confirms that there was a significant risk conflict between Jesus and his opponents. In my experience, the presence of risk conflict between competing or embattled parties universally points to historical conflict that a rigorous analysis of context can successfully unravel, even in documents that layer and obscure the original conflict. This is particularly true when the conflict includes historical elements that are internally awkward for one of the parties, and would be omitted if possible. If we take such a core set of facts, introduce a proven risk methodology, and then use it as a basis on which to reevaluate these traditions as they are reflected in the Gospel of Mark, what new findings might be suggested? Furthermore, what are the implications as to their meaning? I will use these facts as a common ground to begin the risk analysis and then let findings fall where they may. So what are these facts?
The historical facts accepted by virtually all scholars can be divided into context and conflict. With regard to context, there is no disputing that first-century Palestine was occupied by brutal and corrupt Roman rulers. The Jewish aristocracy and religious elite of Jerusalem were Roman collaborators. They participated in this brutality and accepted Roman rule as the will of God. Resistance to this rule was tantamount to blasphemy, a rejection of the order divinely set forth. Unlike the wealthy aristocracy, Jesus was a poor, reclusive, and dispossessed Galilean peasant, Jewish ecstatic, and exorcist. For Jesus, his exorcisms evidenced that the land was possessed by demons and spirits introduced by Satan, whose activity and power had been augmented by the invasion of pagan, foreign imperialists and their supporters. Jesus left Galilee to become a disciple of John the Baptist. John rejected the Jerusalem elite, calling them āvipersā (Matt 3:7), that is, those possessed by Satan. At baptism, Jesus had an ecstatic experience and was possessed by the Spirit given by God. Jesus was then able to command demons and angels at will, for which he was feared. The Jerusalem elite murdered John, leading Jesus to flee to the Galilee. Jesus then began an assault on Satan, exorcising demons and spirits by his Spirit, which he called the āfinger of Godā (Luke 11:20). He recruited and trained other men to be exorcists. For Jesus and others who witnessed them (in experiential encounters), these exorcisms had meaning. Jesus announced that God was coming as king (or was already becoming present), and that he would claim his people, his children, in the powerful and transformative intervention of the kingdom, leading to the general resurrection and judgment of the apostate. The rule of Satan was ending.
The context of conflict then becomes clearer based on other undisputed contextual facts. Exorcists were well-known, but Romans considered them to be charlatans. Indeed, exorcism was considered to be demonic dark magic, was illegal under Roman law, and was punishable by death as a capital crime. Jesus was therefore an outlaw under Roman law, not just an annoyance. Worse, to associate demons with Rome and the elite amounted to sedition. Thus, the Jerusalem elite accused Jesus of being a seditious magician, possessed by Beelzebul. His family also rejected him and publicly accused him of being madāthat is, possessed. So it was that Jesus and the Jerusalem elite, together with their supporters, were in perilous conflict.
With this context established, we can assess risk responses to crises that are expressed in Jesusā conflict with his opponents, which included Satan. The response to dire conflict in the perception of dangerous risks is historically consistent. Indeed, the human response to risk has not changed in millennia, only the source of those risks and the types of countermeasures we employ to cancel them out. In the world of first-century Palestineāa world widely believed to be filled with onerous spirits, demons, and unmitigated evil that caused pain, sickness, and deathāthe ultimate countermeasure was exorcism, or expulsion of those forces. Those who could control or command the spirits were revered by the afflicted as more powerful than evil, or alternately, were feared, hated, and often killed by those who were threatened by powers they considered subversive. We may arrogantly believe that we are different from our ancient ancestors, but we are anything but different when it comes to our fear and the response countermeasures we take to annihilate perilous risks that we perceive as real and present. We want fearful risks ended and will use whatever means necessary. In short, our response is to react with effective countermeasures. So, when perilous risks arise, human responses can be evaluated objectively and historically. To explain this, let me set the stage by providing the basic tenets of risk analysis so that we may apply them to this context.
Effective risk analysis, when applied to uncovering perilous risks and conflict, is generally framed in two methodological categories. The first is quantitative risk analysis, based on numbers, ratios, trends, and statistics. This method, which is associated with traditional mathematical due diligence, is obviously not fruitfully applied to the New Testament except in terms of word counts to help determine authorship. The second methodology is qualitative risk analysis. I believe this method has real value in analyzing the New Testament context outlined above and for evaluating the implications of this historical conflict.
Qualitative risk analysis generally follows a standard evaluative pattern that is iterative. To begin with, there is a perception of what those in the industry call āperilous risk,ā or danger of imminent, serious material harm, which is thought to be a real threat to the stability or survival of an entity under analysis. This threat is usually an assault on the entityās religious, social, economic, or political environment(s). Qualitative risk analysis assesses both the scope of those threats and the entityās vulnerability, then evaluates the effectiveness of potential measures employed to cancel them out. If they are successful, these countermeasures are usually patterned, replicated, or embellished by the entity, thereby attracting other adherents and standard practices. However, when countermeasures fail, devastation, catastrophe, or even physical harm or death can ensue.
Where there are two conflicting entities, additional criteria come into play that are particularly applicable to studies of the New Testament. When two entities in a common historical context perceive one another as a perilous risk, the countermeasures each employs to cancel the other o...