CHAPTER 1
Sarajevo: The Shots That Still Ring Round the World
ONE of the last known photographs of the Archduke Francis Ferdinand of Habsburg, heir to the throne of his uncle, the octogenarian Emperor Francis Joseph of Austria-Hungary, shows him coming down the steps of the city hall in Sarajevo a few minutes after eleven on the morning of Sunday, June 28, 1914. Under the refulgent uniform topped with a plumed hat his stout body is rigid; his heavy features seem congested and his neck swollen above the tight-fitting collar; his thick, curling mustaches bristle like a wild boarās. Beside him walks his morganatic wife Sophie, the Duchess of Hohenberg, her plump face looking pinched and taut. They are just about to step into a waiting car. Both are clearly uneasy, but not yet really frightened. The local Bosnian dignitaries who line the steps, framing the doomed couple, are not frightened either; many of them are Moslemsāparadoxically the only friends the Catholic Habsburgs have in this seething, semi-Oriental province, only recently freed from the Turkish yoke, but already clamoring for a Yugoslavia which has not yet been bornāand they know that man does not evade his fate. The knowledge is written on their faces; the photograph catches them with their gloved hands raised to their flower-pot hats in a gesture of awe and resignation, as one salutes a funeral.
The whole scene, captured for posterity by some anonymous cameraman, stands out so vividly across the years that in looking at it one almost has the impression of reliving a personal nightmare. As in certain nightmares, incredulity wrestles with the sense of doom. Surely someone will cry out a warning before it is too late, surely someone will try to do something. In fact, someone does, but it is the wrong thing, and already it is too late. In five minutes Francis Ferdinand and Sophie will be lying unconscious in their speeding car bleeding to death from an assassinās bullets: an ancient dynastyāand with it a whole way of lifeāwill start to topple; then another and another and another. Close to nine million men fell in World War I as a direct result of those two shots fired in a dusty Balkan town roughly half a century ago; then 15,000,000 more in a second, greater conflict implicit in the ending of the first one. The visit that the Habsburg heir and his wife paid to Sarajevo lasted only a little more than an hourānot quite the length of a normal feature filmābut the drama of those 60 or 70 minutes has literally revolutionized the whole course of modern history; reconstructing it helps to understand many of the tragic dramas that humanity has witnessed since.
The view of Sarajevo as one approaches from the southwest is a lovely one. High but gently sloping mountains almost encircle it. The valley of the Miljacka, a shallow torrent that cuts the town in two, narrows at its eastern outskirts to a rugged gorge commanded by the ruined Turkish fort (serai) from which it takes its name. The old Moslem quarters crown the upper slopes of the natural amphitheater that rises nearly six hundred feet on both banks of the stream; the slender minarets of their hundred mosques soar like rhythmed prayer above whitewashed villas in walled, tangled gardens. The raw modern town below merely serves as a foil to their enchantment. This is Sarajevo today, and thisāsave for the faint scars left by Allied bombing in World War IIāis how it appeared to Francis Ferdinand in the clear morning sunlight, as his open-topped car, with the gold and black fanion of the Habsburgs fluttering in the fresh mountain air, drove into town from the railroad station.
Though not a man normally sensitive to beauty, the archduke no doubt was gladdened by the scene. He demonstrated no more enthusiasm than he habitually displayed at the opera or at Court ballsāa constant complaint of the artistic and pleasure-loving Vienneseābut as he leaned stiffly against the leather-upholstered seat condescending to the view, his arrogant, morose face, with the sagging middle-aged jowlsāhe was fifty-oneāseemed unusually cheerful. Francis Ferdinand had in fact every reason to be satisfied with life, and even to feel a little mellow that June morning. The ostentatious, almost provocative, military maneuvers along the Serbian border that had been the official pretext for his visit to Bosniaāhe was Inspector General of the armed forcesāhad gone off well, at least from the Austro-Hungarian viewpoint. For once there had been no slacknessānothing like that disgraceful incident a couple of months earlier near Trieste when he had personally caught one of the sailors from his naval guard sneaking a cigarette behind a hedge (he had had the fellow put in the brig for a fortnight). Francis Ferdinand was a humorless, taciturn martinet with a mania for spit-and-polish who also took seriously the serious side of soldiering and administration; he had an almost Prussian phobia about schlamperei,1 the Austrian genius for insouciant inefficiency. The royal suite in the hotel of the little spa, Ilidze, where he had spent the previous night had been quite comfortableāno schlamperei there, eitherāand Sophie, whom he had brought along with him, in violation of all protocol, had enjoyed the respectful attentions of his young staff officers. The ceremonial visit to Sarajevo, promised, for all its tedium, to be even more satisfying; its timing had a private significance that in the Archdukeās mind may possibly have overshadowed the political one. June 28 was the anniversary of the most important date in his life.
Fourteen years ago on that day, Archduke Francis Ferdinand of Austria-Este (as he preferred to call himself) had married Countess Sophie Chotek, a member of a noble but comparatively obscure Czech family, and a lady-in-waiting to his cousin, the Archduchess Isabella. From the Habsburg viewpoint she might as well have been a chambermaid. āLove makes people lose all sense of dignity,ā Francis Joseph exclaimed when he heard the news. The old Emperor had never quite forgiven his heir for this misalliance; it had taken a whole year of stubborn negotiations to win his consent to the marriage. But even Francis Joseph could not have softened the iron writ of Habsburg House Law, the supreme code of the dynasty. At a solemn assembly of the Court and the Privy Council in the ancient Hofburg Palace in Vienna, Francis Ferdinand had been obliged to renounce all rights of rank and succession for his children before taking Sophie as his morganatic wife. He had never forgotten the humiliation. He loved Sophie enough to swallow it, but it rankled all the same. The Archduke was no royal iconoclast or bohemian; he was a snob and a pedant obsessedādespite his marriage to a commonerāwith the privileges of royalty generally and with his own dynastic rights in particular.
Oddly enough, the marriage had turned out happy. When Francis Ferdinand developed tuberculosis and was written off for dead by his uncleās courtāanother slight he never forgaveāSophie with tireless devotion nursed him back to health. They had three children, Ernst, Max and Sophie, the last two known in the family as Maxl and Sopherlāwhom the Archduke adored. Momentarily oblivious to all protocol, he enjoyed sitting on the floor to play with them, often receiving important visitors in this positionāand woe to any visitor who did not instantly follow the royal example. The conjugal union of the Habsburg autocrat-to-be with the daughter of the empireās despised Slav minority seemed a model of bourgeois felicity; actually it was in all probability something more than that: the day they took their last ride together it was still a love match.
In fact, this graceless coupleāFrancis Ferdinand looking more like the typical Prussian boor of the epoch than like a Viennese gentleman; Sophie a square-faced matron well past her prime, in no way improved by the overdecorated hat and the high, tight collar of her dressāsitting side by side on the back seat of their ungainly antebellum vehicle, en route to keep their rendezvous with death, were united by an undying tenderness as romantic in its way perhaps as any in history. The smiles they exchanged as the royal cortege approached the center of town and the first scattered cries of āZivioā rang out were warm and intimate. It was in part for Sophieās sake that the Archduke had organized the trip to Sarajevo, and she knew it.
In the stylized ballet of Vienna Court life, strictly regulated by an etiquette going back to the days of Maria Theresa, there was no place for Sophie. In 1906 the Emperor had given her the title of Duchess of Hohenberg and thereafter she was allowed to attend Court at the Schoenbrunn Palace, but never on the same footing as her husband. The Archdukeās numerous enemies exploited every weapon in the armory of protocol to vex and humiliate her. At Court galas, for example, when etiquette called for a āceremonial entrance,ā orders were issued that only half the folding door should be opened for her. Eventually Francis Ferdinand, a brooding, vindictive man, burning with ill-concealed impatience for his uncle to die and given to black fits of depression and rages so violent that Sophie sometimes feared he was going insane, set up a kind of rival Court at his Belvedere Palace on a hilltop overlooking Vienna. The great German and Magyar feudal families were but perfunctorily represented there; the Archduke particularly loathed the haughty Magyar nobles because of their independence, and surrounded himself with a paradoxical mixture of Slavs, reactionary clerics, and German Christian Socialists. This tended to split the aristocracy and officialdom of the empire into two factions without wholely solving the problem of the Duchessās rank.
Unlikely as it sounds today, this tiresome and anachronistic imbroglio played a real part in setting the stage for a world disaster. It was to punish his detractors and to atone to Sophie for all the times she had been forced to walk at the tail of some court procession while he had headed it with an Archduchess on his arm, that Francis Ferdinand in 1914 hatched up a kind of protocol-putsch. He would take advantage of his new office as Inspector General of the armed forcesāhe was appointed in 1913āto attend the forthcoming maneuvers in the recently annexed province of Bosnia-Herzegovina. While there he would pay an official visit to its capital, Sarajevo, in his military capacity rather than as heir to the throne. But of course he would have to be treated like royalty. And he would take Sophie with himāon their wedding anniversary. She would be received like the wife of an Inspector General who happened to be the royal heirāthat is to say, like a queen.
The political motivations back of the Archdukeās visit to Sarajevo were no less convoluted than his private ones. They were rooted both in Habsburg family history and in the complex human geography of the Danubian Basin. While these two subjects deserve fuller exploration, it is enough at this point to recall a few of their salient features. To begin with, there is the key fact that Austria-Hungary was called the Dual Monarchy because it was not a nation but two separate and theoretically sovereign nations ruled by a common King-Emperor and linked by rather sketchy joint, or imperial, administrative services (including the army). This, however, is a gross oversimplification; in many respects Austria and Hungary were less like nations than like two associated empires. In each a master raceāin Austria, the Germans; in Hungary the Magyarsāruled more or less oppressively over a number of subject peoples. (Being a master race at home did not prevent the Magyars from complaining that they themselves were oppressed, or at least exploited, by the Germans throughout the Empire.) Most of the submerged nationalities belonged to the Slavic race, (though there were also many Italians and Rumanians) but they stemmed from several different branches of it, and instead of being grouped in one area they were scattered throughout Austria-Hungary along with various ethnic minorities, like the addled limps and features of the subjects in certain surrealist portraits. The Czechs lived in the part of northern Austria that had once been the independent Slavic Kingdom of Bohemia; their close kinsmen, the Slovaks, lived more to the east and therefore under the much harsher Hungarian yoke. Hungary also owned large parts of what is today Yugoslavia, and thus had an important South SlavāSerb and Croatāminority as well as the Slovak one. The Slovenes, another South Slavic people, were partly under Austrian dominion, however. The Habsburgs, as the feudal overlords of this anachronistic hodge-podge of peoples naturally, had the most trouble with their biggest and proudest vassals, the Magyars; therefore, they tended to favor certain of their Slav subjects as a sort of counterweight to Magyar ambition or stubbornness. Francis Ferdinand pushed this family tradition to extreme limits; he detested the Magyars, and whether to annoy them or for more statesmanlike reasons, constantly sought to appear as the champion of the Empireās Slavs. (The fact that he had married a Czech noblewoman naturally facilitated, and perhaps inspired, this role.) Francis Ferdinand was undoubtedly more clearsighted than most high-ranking Austrian officials in recognizing the ominously growing strength of the nationalist movement among the empireās Slav minorities, particularly among its South Slavs. At one time the Archduke apparently hoped to combat the separatist lure of the Yugoslav dreamāwhich was being actively promoted by expansionist elements in the adjacent Kingdom of Serbiaāthrough offering the South Slavs home rule in a separate state of their own within the Empire.
Bosnia had a significant, if ambivalent, relationship to all such schemes, and it was a major factor in the general Balkan imbroglio. Vienna had administered the provincesātogether with its sister province of Herzegovinaāsince 1877 when the native Christians (mostly Serb or Croat by race) had driven out their Turkish masters. The original legal basis for the arrangement had been a general European treaty, aimed precisely at preventing the freshly liberated territory from becoming a bone of contention among the powers, which had put it under Austro-Hungarian administration in a sort of mandate. (Juridically, Bosnia-Herzogovina remained part of the Ottoman Empire.) Then in 1908 the old Emperorās ministers had persuaded him to sign a decree formally annexing the provinces to his empire. This irresponsible act had disturbed the great powers, enraged the pepper-patriots in free Serbiaāwho had hoped some day to annex Bosnia-Herzegovina themselvesāand inflamed the pro-Serbian or Pan-Slav nationalism of the local population. In deciding his official visit to the Bosnian capital, the Archduke no doubt felt that it would have a soothing effect locally while attracting the favorable attention of Slav nationalists elsewhere in the empire. On the one hand the visitātogether with the maneuvers near the frontierādemonstrated that the empire would tolerate no nonsense either from the Serbian irredentists in Belgrade or from the South Slav secessionists within its own borders. On the other hand, it would demonstrateāsomewhat more cryptically it would seemāthe future Emperorās sympathy with the legitimate aspirations of loyal Slav nationalism, and his well-known love for his Slav subjects. By the same token, it would once more infuriate the Magyars.
This was how Francis Ferdinand and his wife happened to be riding together in a slow-moving open car in the heart of what was practically a zone of military occupation on the fatal Sunday. The regal-looking motorcade, the flaunting flags, the curious if rather silent crowds lining the wide avenue along the right bank of the Miljacka as the cortege turned into itāthese were the Archdukeās anniversary presents to Sophie.
To most of the Bosnians who turned out to greetāor simply to stare atātheir presumptive future monarch and his wife, the date marked a quite different sort of anniversary. June 28āactually June 15 by the Serbian Orthodox calendarāis the Vidovdan, the Feast of St. Vitus. To the Slav peoples of the Balkan Peninsula it is a holiday unlike any other. For centuries it was a national day of mourning because it commemorates the battle of Kossovo in 1389 when the Turks destroyed the medieval kingdom of Serbia and enslaved its Christian subjects. Since 1912 it has been the symbol of a glorious resurrectionāthe defeat of the Turks in the first Balkan War that led to their virtual expulsion from Europe.
Like all historic anniversaries that pluck menās heartstrings with contradictory fingers, the Vidovdan looses deep, confused emotions among those who observe it: it is a day when good friends drink too much and fall to brawling, when even the strangerās most tactful word grates as if on a nerve laid bare.
Francis Ferdinand, the least tactful of men and the most intrusive of all possible strangers, knew that the date he had picked for his first visit to Sarajevo was the Vidovdan. He was also aware that Bosnia and the Bosnian capital had remained under the Austro-Hungarian yoke what they had been under the Turkishāhotbeds of nationalist conspiracy and terrorism (the revolutionary tradition was gloriously revived against the Nazis in World War II). Perhaps he counted on his reputation as a champion of the Slavs within the Empire to disarm hostility. Its real effect was to make him seem dangerous as well as hateful to the fanatics of Slavdom; extremists always fear a moderate adversary.
āSuicide while of unsound mind,ā would seem the most likely verdict on the visit to Sarajevo if Francis Ferdinand had not taken along with him the being whom he loved most in the world: his wife. Certainly he would not have exposed her if he had really believed there was danger. His fatal insensitivity to the public temper in Bosnia demonstrates how little human contact there was between the Habsburgs and their subjects. In the expressive Chinese phrase, the dynasty after ruling for six hundred years had lost the Mandate of Heaven (as the reader will see later, most of the other surviving twentieth-century dynasties had lost, or were about to lose it, too). Not only were the Habsburgs out of touch with their subjects, but communication had partly broken down between different organs of their state.
The civil authorities both in Sarajevo and in Vienna had picked up warnings of a plot against the Archduke. For a while one school of history believed that certain of these authorities, particularly those with Magyar connections, had deliberately allowed the heir to the throne to walk into a trapāperhaps had even encouraged the assassination plot. Today, with much hitherto secret evidence now available, the expert consensus is less dramatic but in one way stranger. The civ...