Deterrence

Its Past and Future—Papers Presented at Hoover Institution, November 2010

George P. Shultz, Sidney D. Drell, James E. Goodby

• Publisher: Hoover Institution Press
• Year: 2013
• Print ISBN: 9780817913847
• eBook ISBN: 9780817913861
• Edition: 1
• Topic: History
• Subtopic: Military & Maritime History
• Index: History

Drawn from the third in a series of conferences the Hoover Institution at Stanford University on the nuclear legacy of the cold war, this report examines the importance of deterrence, from its critical function in the cold war to its current role. Recognizing that today's international environment is radically different from that which it was during the cold war, the need is pressing to reassess the role of nuclear weapons in deterrence in the world of today and to look ahead to the future.

I N D E X

ABM system, cooperative, 294–96

ABM Treaty

new, 292–93

rise and fall of, 284–91

unilateral statements and, 293–94

ABMs. See anti-ballistic missiles

The Abolition (Schell), 123, 135, 153, 161, 162

A-bomb, 16

The Absolute Weapon (Brodie), 1

Accident Response Group (ARG), 185

accidental nuclear conflict prevention

countervailing reconstitution and, 169–70

imposition of unavoidable delays for, 219

accident-risk reduction, 244

Acheson-Lilienthal Report, 136, 184, 346

countervailing reconstitution and, 132

Active Layered Theater Ballistic Missile Defense (ALTBMD), 256

Acton, James, xxiii, 140, 167, 279–324

actors. See anonymous actors; non-state actors; sub-state actors

Adler, Emanuel, 57

aerial bombardment

conventional, 2

in World War I, 3

aerial offense dominance, postwar escalation of, 21

Afghan Taliban, 66–68

Afghans, Uzbek, 68

Age of Diplomacy, xxxi

age of disarmament, strategic stability in, 347–51

Air Defense Command, 252

air-delivered mass destruction

assumptions about, 4

public reaction to, 4

alliances

of former nuclear-weapon states, 105

of non-nuclear-weapon states, 105

Allied bombing, of German cities, 13

Alsos investigations, of Manhattan Project, 14

ALTBMD. See Active Layered Theater Ballistic Missile Defense

alternatives buffer, for countervailing reconstitution, 166

always/never dilemma, 240

American Nuclear Emergency Support Team (NEST), 185

American-German nuclear bomb race, 12

motive to win, 13

one-sidedness of, 15

Andreasen, Steve, xiv

anonymous actors, locating, 59

anti-ballistic missiles (ABMs), armed with nuclear weapons, 257

Arbatov, Alexei, 196

ARG. See Accident Response Group

armament control negotiations, xxiii

arms control

conventional, 308–11

deterrence theory and, 280–83

Moscow Treaty and, 298–99

nuclear infrastructure and, 315–19

strategic defenses and, 283–84

strategic offensive forces and, 296–303

verification and, 319–20

arsenal size, in countervailing reconstitution, 172

Art, Robert, 53

Aso, Taro, 145

assured destruction, myth of, 228

asymmetrical warfare, ...

Table of contents

• Table of Contents
• Abbreviations
• Foreword
• Preface
• Acknowledgments
• Introduction
• How History and the Geopolitical Context Shape Deterrence
• Redefining the Role of Deterrence
• Nuclear Deterrence in a World Without Nuclear Weapons
• Nuclear Weapons Reconstitution and its Discontents
• Playing for Time on the Edge of the Apocalypse
• Arms Control and Deterrence
• Practical Considerations Related to Verification and Compliance
• Deterrence and Enforcement in a World Free of Nuclear Weapons
• Appendix A: Enforcing Zero
• Appendix B: Nuclear Deterrence in the Twenty-first Century
• Appendix C: Conference Agenda
• Appendix D: Conference Participants
• About the Authors
• Index