IT USED TO BE SIMPLE . . . BUT NOT ANYMORE
Fastâforward 50 to 60 years when headlines tell a very different story for students applying to college now: âWhy Is College Admissions Such a Mess,â1 âApplied to Stanford or Harvard? You Probably Didn't Get In. Admit Rates Drop, Again,â2 âNew SAT Brings New Challenges, Same Old Pressure,â3 âBest, Brightest and Rejected: Elite Colleges Turn Away up to 95%,â4 âHow College Admissions Has Turned into Something Akin to âThe Hunger Games,' â5 âWhy Colleges Aggressively Recruit Applicants Just to Turn Them Down,â6 and âThe Absurdity of College Admissions.â7
Colleges themselves make equally jarring announcements. In spring 2003, Harvard announced that for the first time it had accepted just under 10 percent of the students who applied for freshman admission for the class of 2007, or about 2,000 out of 21,000 applicants. This was a new low not only for Harvard but also for colleges nationwide. But much more was to come. By spring 2016, the admissions rate at Harvard had fallen to 5.2 percent out of an applicant pool of over 39,000 for the class of 2020, and at least nine other colleges had joined Harvard in the âunder 10 percentâ club. Among them was the University of Chicago, reporting an admissions rate of less than 9 percent for the class of 2020, down from a little less than 16 percent five years earlier and just over 38 percent a decade before.
Many public universities, particularly state flagship campuses, have also experienced dramatic growth in applications as well as falling admission rates. For example, UC Berkeley received 82,000 applications for the freshman class of 2020 and admitted 17.5 percent. Ten years prior, the campus received fewer than 42,000 applications and admitted 23.8 percent.
These are just a few of the many colleges reporting recordâbreaking numbers of applications and recordâlow rates of admission, continuing a trend that began two decades earlier. What has happened to change the college admissions picture so dramatically in such a relatively short time?
Population Growth
The simple explanation seems to be supply and demand: more high school graduates than ever are now competing for seats in the freshman class. After declining somewhat in the late 1980s and early 1990s, the number of students graduating from high school in the United States has risen steadily. In 1997 there were 2.6 million graduates; by 2013, the number had grown to almost 3.5 million. Although the numbers are now declining slightly, they are projected to stay at or above 3.4 million until 2028.8
I don't think anyone is complacent about getting a highâquality applicant pool.
Harvard University admissions officer
Social Changes
But it turns out that the increase in applications is not just because of population growth. Application numbers have risen much faster than the age cohort because of important social changes. Not only are more students graduating from high school each year but also a greater percentage of them are interested in going to college. Studies confirm that a college diploma increases lifetime earnings, and many desirable careers require education beyond the bachelor's degree. As a result, more students are seeking to attend fourâyear colleges, including students from underrepresented minority groups who previously attended college at much lower rates.
At the same time, colleges themselves have increased their efforts to attract large, diverse pools of applicants. Many have mounted aggressive programs to spread the word about their offerings nationally and internationally. Through colorful brochures mailed directly to students, eâmail blitzes and social media activity, visits to high schools by admissions officers, college nights at local hotels, and information booths at college fairs, colleges are reaching out to prospective freshmen in the United States and abroad with unprecedented energy and at great expense.
Sophisticated marketing techniques are used not only by colleges that may have problems filling their freshman class but also by colleges with an overabundance of qualified applicants. And it works! As a result, more and more collegeâbound students have become aware of and are willing to seriously consider colleges far away from home. Rising standards of living across the globe are also contributing to the number of students from abroad, particularly Asia, choosing to study in the United States.
The Role of the Internet
In addition, the Internet has played a major role in how students approach college admissions. Although printed material and inâperson presentations still help students learn about different colleges, the web has become the primary source of information for students. Students can visit campuses through sophisticated online virtual tours and videos and find answers to many of their questions from college Facebook pages, FAQs posted on their websites, and by tracking collegeâsponsored blogs and Twitter, Instagram, and Snapchat feeds. Colleges have invested heavily in technology to showcase themselves.
The Internet has also made it easier than ever to apply to college. Applications can be completed and submitted online, saving a lot of the time and effort that traditional paper applications once required. Simplifying things even more, more than 700 colleges now accept the Common Application, a standardized application in which a student can put in his or her basic information just once and then submit it online to up to 20 of those colleges.
With admission harder to predict, students are now submitting more applications than ever before. Ten to 12 applications are now the norm at many private schools and highâperforming public high schools; 15 or more applications are not uncommon. Through technology students can apply to an everâlarger number of colleges.
All of these factors taken togetherâgrowth in the population of 18 year olds, greater interest in college, sophisticated marketing efforts, ready access to information, and ease of applying made possible by the Internetâexplain why it is harder to get into ...