Chapter 1
Understanding Negative Emissions From BECCS
Clair Gough1, Sarah Mander1, Patricia Thornley1, Amanda LeaâLangton1, and Naomi Vaughan2
1Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Mechanical Aerospace and Civil Engineering, University of Manchester, UK
2School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK
1.1 Introduction
Changes in our climate are driven by human activity such as agriculture, deforestation and burning coal, oil and gas. The single most significant driver of climate change is the increase in the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide (CO2) in our atmosphere from the combustion of fossil fuels. Efforts to limit the impacts of climate change focus on reducing the emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases and adapting to live with the changing climate. In recent years, a third approach has gained significant attention: action to remove CO2 from the atmosphere and store the CO2 for long timescales (over hundreds of years). Recent negotiations under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) delivered the 2015 Paris Agreement, which set a target of limiting global average temperature rise to âwell below 2 °Câ (the 2 °C target having been agreed within the UNFCCC in 2010) while âpursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°Câ (UNFCCC, 2015). These are ambitious goals that will require immediate and radical emissions reductions if they are to be met. The idea of introducing ânegative emissionsâ is born out of the gap between the current trajectory in global emissions and the pathway necessary to avoid dangerous climate change. The most prominent proposal for achieving such negative emissions is to use biomass as a feedstock to generate electricity (or produce biofuels or hydrogen), capture the CO2 during production and store it underground in geological reservoirs â biomass energy with carbon capture and storage, or BECCS for short. However, the negative emissions concept remains just that, a concept; in principle, technologies such as BECCS can deliver net CO2 removal at a project scale, or potentially at a global scale sufficient to impact atmospheric concentrations of CO2 and associated global average temperatures â but in practice, this potential has yet to be accessed at anything like a global scale. This book explores the challenges of unlocking negative emissions using BECCS.
Future climate change is most commonly explored using a suite of models that represent the Earthâs climate system, the physical and socioâeconomic impacts of a changing climate and the greenhouse gases and other drivers generated by the global economy and energy systems. Integrated assessment models (IAMs) are used to create scenarios of future emissions that are used by climate and impact models. The growing and significant dependence on BECCS in future emissions scenarios in global IAMs has placed BECCS at the centre of the discourse around achieving targets of 2 °C global average temperature rise and, following the 2015 Paris Agreement, 1.5 °C. This reliance on BECCS hinges on its potential to remove CO2 from the atmosphere in order to maintain a sustainable atmospheric concentration of CO2 in a costâeffective manner.
There are many different technical options that could deliver negative emissions via BECCS and these vary in their technology readiness level (TRL). Some of the closerâtoâmarket BECCS technologies are composed of component parts that have been proven and tested, but integration and deployment have not yet been demonstrated at commercial scale. Consequently, there remain significant uncertainties associated with BECCS performance and costs. Understanding the potential for, and implications of, pursuing BECCS requires an interdisciplinary approach. It has been suggested that BECCS could play a role in offsetting hardâtoâabate sectors (e.g. agriculture and aviation) or enable delayed action on mitigation. While the atmospheric concentration of CO2 continues to rise and policy objectives focus on limiting warming to 1.5 °C, it becomes increasingly likely that a means of delivering negative emissions will be required. Whether or not limiting warming to 1.5 °C is feasible without negative emissions remains unclear. In 2018, the IPCC will deliver a special report devoted to understanding the emissions pathways and impacts associated with 1.5 °C.
Despite its significance within the formal policy goals, there is very little practical experience of implementing the technology in commercial applications and limited research into the practicalities of implementation and conditions for accelerating deployment. Combining modern biomass energy systems with CCS not only presents technical and scientific challenges but, to be implemented at scales large enough to deliver global net negative emissions, also depends on other factors, such as geopolitics and supplyâchain integration and may have significant societal implications. To understand BECCS, what it can offer and how it might contribute to climateâchange mitigation, it is essential t...