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Wrecking the welfare state
Sometime during the last two months of 2011, the mask slipped off the European project. Elected governments in both Greece and Italy were replaced with hastily assembled administrations. Voters were given no say in the matter.
Most of the attention was focused on Greece, where George Papandreou resigned as prime minister because he had the temerity to suggest that a referendum be called, asking if ordinary people concurred with the terms of a âbail-outâ imposed on the country. His effective dismissal by Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy shattered the myth that the EU was a club of sovereign nations.1 Perhaps the only mitigating factor was that the interim government in Athens wasnât in office for too long.2 By contrast, the new regime in Rome stayed in office for a full year.
Mario Monti came to power in circumstances that resembled a coup. In the summer of 2011, Italy had a crushing national debt and found its banks under attack by speculators.3 Jean Claude-Trichet, then the outgoing president of the European Central Bank, and his incoming successor Mario Draghi pounced on this crisis. Writing to Silvio Berlusconi in August that year, the duo complained that the prime ministerâs commitments to economic reform were âinsufficientâ. It was âessentialâ, they added, for Italy to undertake âlarge-scale privatisationsâ and to make it easier for firms to sack workers. A series of other measures must be introduced by decree within less than two months, Berlusconi was told.4
Though Berlusconi succumbed to the ECBâs pressure and helped to bring in a package of cutbacks, he found his own position untenable. After many of his parliamentary allies deserted him, Berlusconi resigned in November 2011.5 Monti promptly replaced him. No election was called. Like the other members of his hand-picked new cabinet, Monti was not an elected politician.6
Monti appeared in some respects to be the polar opposite of Berlusconi. Whereas Berlusconi had a penchant for risquĂ© jokes and became synonymous with âbunga bungaâ parties, Monti came across as inscrutable and dour. Monti is routinely described as a âtechnocratâ, implying that as a university professor, he was not motivated by the base concerns of a career parliamentarian. The description was misleading: Monti proved not only to be highly political, he was in some respects more dangerous than Berlusconi. Monti quickly resorted to taking action by emergency decree; this effectively meant that he was ordering that the retirement age be increased and expenditure on public services be slashed.7 As I hadnât heard any convincing explanation for why he was issuing diktats, I requested one when I approached Monti as he was leaving a conference in Brussels a few months later.
âMr Monti, do you accept that you have no democratic mandate to introduce the reforms you are undertaking in Italy?â I asked.
âNo, I do not,â he replied.
âWhat democratic mandate do you have?â I persevered.
âI have a huge majority in Parliament,â he said.8
I tried to enquire how his âhuge majorityâ compensated for the fact that he had not been elected but Monti had already walked away, surrounded by bodyguards and a smartly-dressed entourage.
Taking a more softball approach than I had, journalists with Der Spiegel soon learned how Monti actually regarded parliaments as something of an irritant. âIf governments let themselves be bound by the decisions of their parliaments without protecting their own freedom to act, a breakup of Europe would be a more probable outcome than integration,â he told the German magazine.9
Having monitored his work intermittently for more than a decade, I am convinced that Monti has long been seeking a fundamental transformation of the European economy. Because this kind of transformation (or âintegrationâ, as he prefers to call it) necessitates social upheaval, it is not hard to see why he wants to avoid the oversight and checks and balances that parliaments are supposed to provide. Before I âdoorsteppedâ him, I had listened to Monti give a keynote address to an audience invited by the employers group BusinessEurope. Monti used this platform to spurn âan old-fashioned Keynesian way of looking at the worldâ, stressing efforts must be made towards âbudgetary consolidationâ. He summarised his thinking as âstructural reforms â yes; ephemeral deficit spending â noâ.10 Didnât Margaret Thatcher adopt a similar outlook with the guidance of her economic guru Keith Joseph?11Just as Thatcher had done, Monti was wielding a machete at the big government policies favoured by John Maynard Keynes. Monti was urging the destruction of the welfare state not just in Italy but throughout the EU.
Between 1999 and 2004, Monti was the EUâs commissioner for competition policy. He was best known during that period for blocking a merger between General Electric (GE) and Honeywell. Monti continued to spend much of his time in Brussels when his term as a commissioner expired. He was named chairman of Bruegel, an economic affairs âthink-tankâ.12 Ironically â or appropriately, depending on oneâs perspective â this outfitâs activities have been partly financed by GE, as well as by Goldman Sachs, for whom Monti has worked as an adviser.13 In an article published by Bruegel in 2005, Monti gave a useful history lesson. It is wrong, he argued, to equate the concept of a âmarket economyâ solely with Anglo-Saxon capitalism. Monti praised the German government of the 1950s â particularly Ludwig Erhard, the economics minister â for imprinting on âthe nascent European construction a solid market orientationâ, with the help of France. Twenty-first century France and Germany âneed quickly to reform and modernise their model, not repudiate it,â he added.14
It is telling that Montiâs article was penned the year that Angela Merkel took over as chancellor in Germany. Ahead of her election, Merkel hired Paul Kirchhof as an economic adviser. An advocate of radical tax cuts, Kirchhof had been actively involved in the Initiative for a New Social Market Economy (INSM). Financed by trade associations representing the metal and electronics industries, the INSM was set up in 2005 to push for a weakening of the welfare state.15 Merkelâs scope for implementing the policies favoured by the INSM was limited in her first term in office. That was because she led a coalition with the Social Democrats, who were averse to Kirchhofâs main recommendations.16 Circumstances were to change dramatically after she was re-elected in 2009. Not only was Merkel able to form a government with the right-wing Free Democrats, the troubles besetting the eurozone helped her become the self-appointed empress of austerity. Largely at her behest, a number of European economies were remoulded to meet the requirements of the âsocial marketâ.
The term âsocial marketâ is a misnomer. The prefix âsocialâ has been attached purely as a form of sugar-coating to make painful adjustments appear palatable. In reality, âsocial marketâ is a synonym for neo-liberalism, an ideology which holds that the most important purpose of the state is to defend private property rights.17Genuine social policies aimed at reducing poverty and inequality are anathema to this way of thinking. The INSMâs vision of a social market is one where minimum wages are abolished and health insurance opened up to greater competition.18
To understand how the âsocial marketâ involves a repackaging of old ideas, it is helpful to examine the report of a 2009 conference titled â60 Years of the Social Market Economyâ. Held in Sankt-Augustin, a town near Bonn, the conference was hosted by the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung (KAS), a âfoundationâ affiliated to Merkelâs Christian Democratic Union, and the European Business Circle, a group dominated by German entrepreneurs and academics. The report traces the first use of the phrase âsocial market economyâ to a 1946 paper by the economist and anthropologist Alfred-MĂŒller Armack. While the authors of the 2009 report contend that the concept is based on âseemingly conflicting objectives, namely economic freedom and social securityâ, they admit that it is âa new variant of neo-liberalismâ. What is particularly striking about the report is that it presented the economic crisis which erupted a year earlier as an opportunity to ârenewâ the âprinciples and fundamental ideasâ behind the social market economy. Far from confining this debate to Germany, it urged that the concept be applied globally to âreinvigorate the philosophical and economic standing of liberalism in generalâ.19 Such thinking will be familiar to readers of Naomi Kleinâs magnum opus The Shock Doctrine. Among the numerous examples of market fundamentalists exploiting emergency situations cited by Klein was how the highly influential economist Milton Friedman urged the privatisation of the school system in New Orleans soon after the city was devastated by a hurricane.20
AMBUSHING THE IRISH
Towards the end of November 2010, the shock doctrine came to Ireland. I happened to be home in Dublin at the time that details of an âŹ85 billion âbail-outâ were announced. It felt grimly appropriate that the news coincided with heavy snow. As the capital was covered with sheets of ice, it was a major challenge to walk the streets without breaking a leg. Parts of the city felt deserted, almost ghostly.
The Irish people were not bailed out on that bitterly cold week; they were ambushed. Those who had little, if anything, to do with the excesses of the Celtic Tiger era were forced to suffer the most now that the speculative bubble had burst. Most of the âŹ85 billion was to be borrowed from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund under conditions that amounted to blackmail.
Just three years earlier, the largest business deal of the boom was clinched. At 2 a.m. on a Saturday in June 2007, Anglo Irish Bank issued a draft for âŹ1.165 billion to allow a property developer to buy a chain of hotels. When the paroxysms in the global economy started the following year, it soon became clear that Anglo had been throwing gargantuan sums of âother peopleâs moneyâ around like confetti. As Angloâs problems worsened, the Dublin government tried to ârescueâ it. Some âŹ22 billion were pumped into it by May 2010. But this wasnât enough to cover its gambling debts and the bankâs management conceded that the âlionâs shareâ of these billions wouldnât be seen again. In the words of Simon Carswell, author of the book Anglo Republic, the bank turned into a âblack hole for taxpayersâ cashâ.21 The âbail-outâ prompted the Green Party to withdraw from a ruling coalition with the centre-right Fianna FĂĄil, leading to an election in 2011. Having been an active member of the Irish Greens in the 1990s, the partyâs performance in government had been unpleasant for me to observe, albeit from a distance; principles once held as sacrosanct were abandoned purely on the grounds of expediency. The decision to leave that government was accompanied by the ultimate act of betrayal. Rather than resisting the manifestly unfair terms of the âbail-outâ, the Greensâ leadership decided to facilitate its approval by the Oireachtas, Irelandâs parliament, ahead of polling day.22
Although this treachery was to tie the hands of the next government, the main opposition party Fine Gael (slightly more right-wing than Fianna FĂĄil) went to the hustings with a promise it would âburn the bondholdersâ (another popular term for refusing to repay lenders was to make them have a âhaircutâ).23 The pledge was neatly summarised by Richard Bruton, then the partyâs spokesman for enterprise: âWe have to take the view that people who invested and invested unwisely have the consequences under capitalism of losing some or all of their investment.â24 Internal European Commission documents I have seen indicate that Irelandâs masters in Brussels were adamant that no bondholder would even by singed, regardless of how unwise his or her investments had been. A December 2010 âbackground noteâ prepared for Olli Rehn, the Unionâs economic and monetary affairs commissioner at the time, said that EU officials were already in contact with the leading opposition parties and believed that âa high degree of policy continuity should be possible even in the case of a change of governmentâ. As well as stressing that âthe main elements or goalposts of the [âbail-outâ] programme should not be renegotiatedâ, the paper explicitly stated that âa possible involvement of banksâ senior bondholders (âhaircutâ) has been excluded and renegotiating this would run counter to the programmeâs main objective â restore confidence in the Irish banking systemâ. The same paper then went on to give a snapshot of the âfiscal consolidationâ and âstructural reform agendaâ that would be implemented as a condition for the loans being released; among the key ingredients would be wage cuts and âlarge reductions in welfare spendingâ. The countryâs corporation tax â at 12.5 per cent one of the lowest in the eurozone â would be left âuntouchedâ.25
The technical wording of the document does not eclipse its ideological bias. Other internal documents show that the Commission was perfectly aware that Ireland spent less on social welfare than many other EU countries. These papers nonetheless illustrated that the Commission preferred the slashing of payments on which people on the lower rungs of the social ladder depended to making bondholders pay their own casino bills now that their bets had gone belly-up. One such paper commented that Irelandâs âsocial safety netâ was ânot very generous by EU standardsâ; an accompanying graph showed that in 2007, Ireland spent a little over 12.5 per cent of gross domestic product on social benefits. Germany, by contrast, spent 24.5 per cent that year, while the EU average was 19 per cent. While rising unemployment led to an increase in such spending over the next few years, Irelandâs proportionate rate of expenditure on social benefits (18 per cent) in 2009 remained considerably less than Germanyâs (26.5 per cent) and the EU average (22 per cent).26
Even though EU officials had this very clear information at their disposal, they told Rehn that âforeseen cuts in social payments and public sector pay appear appropriateâ. Some months before the âbail-outâ was put together, Rehn was advised to tell Brian Lenihan, then Irelandâs finance minister, that âthe Irish authorities should pursue further reforms to the social security system as soon as possibleâ.27 The point was emphasised again later in 2010 when Rehn travelled to Dublin and met the politicians expected to comprise the next government. Rehnâs core message was: âThe marketsâ trust in Irelandâs ability to service and repay its sovereign debt is battered. Ireland needs to credibly convince markets of its commitment to fiscal discipline.â Calls by trade union leaders for a modicum of flexibility were rebuffed on the grounds that âfinancial markets will simply not allow Ireland to kick the can further down the roadâ.28
Letâs pause for a second and reflect on what all this means. Unless I am mistaken, it means that an unelected bureaucrat flew from Brussels to dictate what path the next Irish government must take in order to please something called the âmarketsâ. The understanding was that...